The Grand National at Aintree 2026
Recent Grand National Winners
- 2025 – I Am Maximus, ridden by Paul Townend and trained by Willie Mullins
- 2024 – I Am Maximus, ridden by Paul Townend and trained by Willie Mullins
- 2023 – Corach Rambler, ridden by Derek Fox and trained by Lucinda Russell
- 2022 – Noble Yeats, ridden by Sam Waley-Cohen and trained by Emmet Mullins
- 2021 – Minella Times, ridden by Rachael Blackmore (first female winner) and trained by Henry de Bromhead
- 2020 – ❌ Race cancelled due to COVID-19 pandemic
- 2019 – Tiger Roll, ridden by Davy Russell and trained by Gordon Elliott (back-to-back winner)
- 2018 – Tiger Roll, ridden by Davy Russell and trained by Gordon Elliott
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I Am Maximus, Win & Place Probability (2026)
Can I Am Maximus win a third time?
📊 Current market odds
- Typical price: ~10/1 (sometimes as short as 15/2)
- That implies a bookmaker win probability of ~9–12%
👉 Quick conversion:
- 10/1 ≈ 9.1% chance to win
- 15/2 ≈ 11.8% chance to win
🥇 Win chances (realistic view)
✔️ Positives
- Proven winner (2024 champion)
- Runner-up in 2025 → elite course form
- Trained by Willie Mullins, dominant in recent Nationals
- Strong ratings + stamina (ideal for Aintree)
- Currently market favourite
❌ Negatives
- Top weight (11-12) – historically a big disadvantage
- Very hard to win twice (rare in modern era)
- Grand National is inherently chaotic (34 runners, high attrition)
🎯 Verdict (win)
- True win chance: ~10–13%
- That’s very strong for this race (most horses <5%)
🥈 Place chances (Top 4 typical each-way)
Bookmakers usually pay 1/4 odds for 1–4 places.
Key context
- Only ~40–50% of runners even finish the race most years
- Proven Aintree horses massively outperform market expectations
🎯 Estimated place probability
- Top 4 finish: ~30–40%
- Top 6 (extended places): ~40–50%
👉 This is where he’s especially strong:
- Already 1st and 2nd in last two Nationals
- That consistency is extremely rare
📉 Historical reality check (important)
- Only ~13 favourites have won in 100+ years
- Average winner odds ≈ 20/1
👉 Translation:
- Even a strong favourite like this is still more likely to lose than win
🧠 Bottom line
- 🥇 Win: Strong contender, but still only ~1 in 10 chance
- 🥈 Place: Very solid (~1 in 3 chance) → much safer bet angle
- 📊 Overall: One of the most reliable horses in the field, but not dominant enough to be “likely” in a race this unpredictable
💡 Betting insight (practical)
- Win bet: High-quality but not value-heavy at short odds
- Each-way: ✔️ Best angle (strong place probability)
- Without favourite markets / forecasts: also worth considering
What makes The Grand National so tough
The Grand National is known for its unique and challenging track. The track is a left-handed, undulating course that covers a distance of 4 miles and 514 yards and features 30 fences, many of which are larger and more imposing than those found on other racecourses.
The fences on the Aintree course are among the most famous in horse racing, with names like Becher’s Brook, The Chair, and Canal Turn. These fences are challenging because they are much larger and more difficult to jump than standard steeplechase fences, and they require horses and jockeys to have a great deal of skill and experience to navigate them successfully.
The Aintree track is also known for its long and demanding run-in, which is the distance between the final fence and the finish line. This stretch of the course is uphill and can be very tiring for horses that have already completed the gruelling four-mile race.
Overall, the Aintree track is a challenging and unique course that requires horses and jockeys to be at the absolute top of their game. The combination of the size and difficulty of the fences, the undulating terrain, and the long run-in makes the Grand National one of the toughest horse races in the world.
Emerging Trends Among Winners
Having looked at the past winners, let’s now discuss some of the trends we can observe among these champions.
Age and Experience
When it comes to the age of winning horses, the sweet spot seems to be between 8 and 11 years old. In the last five years, all of the winners have been within this age range. This is likely because the Grand National is a race that demands both physical prowess and the experience to navigate its unique and challenging course. Keep an eye out for horses in this age range with a proven track record in steeplechase events.
Weight and Handicapping
The Grand National is a handicap race, meaning that horses carry different weights based on their perceived ability, with the goal of levelling the playing field. In the past, horses carrying a heavier weight were at a significant disadvantage. However, recent years have shown that this is no longer the case. Both Tiger Roll and Minella Times carried a relatively high weight when they won the race. When looking for potential winners, don’t be too quick to dismiss horses with a higher weight allocation, as they may still have what it takes to emerge victorious.
Jockey and Trainer
A winning horse is often accompanied by a talented jockey and a skilled trainer. In recent years, we’ve seen some notable partnerships achieve success in the Grand National. For example, the pairing of jockey Davy Russell and trainer Gordon Elliott led Tiger Roll to his back-to-back victories. Similarly, the combination of Rachael Blackmore and Henry de Bromhead resulted in Minella Times‘ historic win. When analysing contenders, be sure to consider the quality and history of the jockey-trainer partnership.
Some of the most popular Grand National winners include:
- Red Rum: One of the most famous horses in Grand National history, Red Rum won the race three times in 1973, 1974, and 1977. He also finished second in the race on two occasions.
- Tiger Roll: A recent star of the Grand National, Tiger Roll won the race in 2018 and 2019, becoming the first horse since Red Rum to win the race in consecutive years.
- Foinavon: A 100-1 outsider in the 1967 Grand National, Foinavon won the race after a pile-up at the 23rd fence caused chaos and allowed him to sneak through to the lead.
- Aldaniti: A hugely popular winner of the 1981 Grand National, Aldaniti was ridden by jockey Bob Champion, who had recovered from cancer to ride the horse to victory.
- Many Clouds: A popular winner of the 2015 Grand National, Many Clouds sadly passed away after winning a race at Cheltenham the following year.
Top 7 horse racing tipsters for Aintree!
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Next, we have best tipsters/the-bet-professor/">The Bet Professor. This well-respected horse racing tipster provides in-depth analysis of every horse in every race, as well as expert tips and predictions.
Third on our list is Off the Bridle Racing. Their team of tipsters are among the best in the business and provides expert analysis and tips for every major race, including the Grand National.
Fourth on our list is On Target Tips. He’s a well-known horse racing tipster in the UK, with a reputation for providing value bets, often at long odds.
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So there you have it, the top 57horse racing tipsters for Aintree. By following their tips and analysis, you can increase your chances of making profitable bets and enjoying a successful Aintree meeting. Thanks for watching, and don’t forget to like and share this video with your fellow horse racing enthusiasts!
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🏇 Grand National 2026 –Runners & Odds
| # | Horse | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | I Am Maximus | 15/2 – 10/1 |
| 2 | Grangeclare West | 9/1 – 10/1 |
| 3 | Iroko | 10/1 – 12/1 |
| 4 | Jagwar | 12/1 |
| 5 | Panic Attack | 14/1 |
| 6 | Nick Rockett | 16/1 |
| 7 | Johnnywho | 16/1 |
| 8 | Oscars Brother | 16/1 |
| 9 | Haiti Couleurs | 16/1 – 18/1 |
| 10 | Gerri Colombe | 20/1 |
| 11 | Meetingofthewaters | 20/1 |
| 12 | Stumptown | 20/1 |
| 13 | Iroko | 12/1 |
| 14 | Intense Raffles | 20/1 |
| 15 | Senior Chief | 25/1 |
| 16 | Broadway Boy | 25/1 |
| 17 | Stay Away Fay | 25/1 |
| 18 | Beauport | 25/1 |
| 19 | Chantry House | 25/1 |
| 20 | Kandoo Kid | 33/1 |
| 21 | Perceval Legallois | 33/1 |
| 22 | Pic Roc | 33/1 |
| 23 | Now Is The Hour | 33/1 |
| 24 | O’Moore Park | 33/1 |
| 25 | Paggane | 33/1 |
| 26 | Hitman | 40/1 |
| 27 | Conflated | 40/1 |
| 28 | Minella Cocooner | 40/1 |
| 29 | Appreciate It | 40/1 |
| 30 | Hewick | 40/1 |
| 31 | Minella Indo | 50/1 |
| 32 | Royale Pagaille | 50/1 |
| 33 | Pied Piper | 66/1 |
| 34 | Twig | 66/1 – 100/1 |
📊 Key market insights
- Favourite: I Am Maximus (~7/1–10/1 range)
- Strongly backed contenders:
- Grangeclare West
- Iroko
- Jagwar
- Big outsiders:
- Twig (up to 100/1)
- Pied Piper (~66/1)




